Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Commissioner's Analysis

Before I get started, I want everyone to know that I am aware that I am a huge nerd. I love fantasy football, but even more than that, I love to write, make fun of my close friends and compete against them. Fantasy football allows me to do all of the above. So I spent my free time (of which I've had little since I now wake up at 5am and don't get home 'til 7pm most nights) analyzing "The Real Keeper League's" fantasy draft from Sunday night. Hey, I admitted I was a nerd.

Jerry Po

I thought Jerry drafted the best out of everyone. He has depth for this season and legitimate keeper options for the future. Three legit starting running backs plus C.J. Spiller makes him a favorite this season.

Solid Picks

Pierre Thomas (Round 3, Overall Pick 25) – With Mike Bell gone, that means more touches for Thomas and Reggie Bush.

Arian Foster (4, 48) – The Texans seem to hate Steve Slaton and Ben Tate is out for the year. Huge value for a No. 1 back in round four.

C.J. Spiller (5, 49) – Huge upside in our keeper format. Too good to pass up here.

Santana Moss (8, 96) – Still a No. 1 wideout with a huge upgrade at quarterback in Donovan McNabb. Could Donovan make him this year’s DeSean Jackson? Definitely worth finding out in round eight.

Mike Williams (13, 145) – Having himself a solid preseason. The better Josh Freeman gets, the better Williams’ value becomes.

Sketchy Picks

None

Brooksie

Chris Johnson could single-handedly make him a contender this year. Especially if Brett Favre has half the season he did in 2009.

Solid Picks

Miles Austin (3, 26) – One of the best route runners in the NFL. Can’t believe he fell to No. 26 overall.

Visanthe Shiancoe (7, 74) – Without Sidney Rice and Percy Harvin’s migraines, who is Brett Favre going to target in the endzone? Has to be Shiancoe.

Vincent Jackson (12, 143) – Should he play at all this season, this is a steal. Regardless, there’s huge sleeper value here for 2011.

Donovan McNabb (11, 122) – Good backup to Favre, after stretching for No. 4.

Sketchy Picks

Brett Favre (4, 47) – Bum ankle makes this pick a stretch. Plus Rice and Harvin’s question marks. Can he really repeat his performance from last season?

Mike Sims-Walker (5, 50) – Has "one-year wonder" written all over him.

Garrett Hartley (9, 98) – Everyone knows you don’t pick a kicker until the 14th round at least. What the fuck were you all (not just Brooksie, as you will see) doing drafting them this early?

Mateo

You’d think he grew up down the street from my new apartment. Jahvid Best, Jermichael Finley, Matt Forte, Sidney Rice in consecutive picks. What, was the NFC North blogger your homepage?

Solid Picks

Jermichael Finley (4, 46) – Once Killer Mike took Vernon Davis, this was a gimme.

Eli Manning (10, 118) – I like the strategy. Huge value here in round 10.

Alex Smith (14, 166) – Good value with Davis and Michael Crabtree, especially as a keeper. Plus he plays in the worst division in football.

Darrius Heyward-Bey (15, 171) – Al Davis has to try to justify taking him before Crabtree, right? Maybe Jason Campbell gets him the ball. Why not in the last round?

Sketchy Picks

Jahvid Best (3, 27) – Kind of early for an unproven rookie coming off an injury on the Lions. But there is a lot of keeper potential.

Sidney Rice (6, 70) – Out at least six weeks. Better hope you’re no worse than 3-3 when he comes back.

Nate Kaeding (9, 99) – Really? In round nine?!

Sully

Your two best wide receivers are Hakeem Nicks and Robert Meachem. That's not good.

Solid Picks

LeSean McCoy (4, 45) – If he’s half the man Brian Westbrook was, this is a great pick.

Braylon Edwards (12, 141) – Who else is Mark Sanchez going to throw to with Santonio Holmes out four weeks? Assuming he can hold onto the ball, that is.

Anthony Gonzalez (15, 172) – Huge value here. Solid route-runner. Just has to beat out Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon. That could be tough having not played in two years. Still, why not?

Sketchy Picks

Hakeem Nicks (5, 52) – Kind of early for a No. 2 wide receiver. You wouldn’t rather have Crabtree? Or Wes Welker?

Robert Meachem (6, 69) – Also kind of early. Would way rather have Dwayne Bowe or Pierre Garcon.

Lawrence Tynes (11, 124) – Need I say more?

Gordo

Decent overall draft. I love Joe Flacco this year. Now you just have to pay the league entry fee and you'll be all set.

Solid Picks

Joe Flacco (6, 68) – The addition of Anquan Boldin could be huge for him. Plus, every time Ray Rice runs a screen pass for a touchdown, that’s four points for Flacco.

Carson Palmer (10, 116) – Good value here with the addition of T.O.

Darren McFadden (11, 125) – Tough to pass up on this much talent this late. They’ve invested so much in him, if he can stay healthy.

Todd Heap (14, 164) – Solid for the sole purpose that Owen Daniels is coming off an injury. Good filler ‘til the ex-Badger is back at full strength for the Texans.

Sketchy Picks

None

Benji

A lot of questionable picks, but that's why there's a waiver wire.

Solid Picks

Chad Henne (12, 139) – Brandon Marshall could help him put up solid numbers.

Chester Taylor (14, 163) – Should Matt Forte suck again, Taylor is a solid backup. Plus he’ll get some goal line touches.

Leon Washington (15, 174) – Pete Carroll has been raving about him all preseason. Can’t be a bad thing.

Sketchy Picks

Joseph Addai (3, 30) – Jonathan Stewart, McCoy and Foster were all still on the board. Not to mention both Steve Smiths, Jennings and Marques Colston.

Stephen Gostkowski (8, 91) – Hmmm, Santana Moss or a kicker. Come on, Benji!

Clewbakers

Beanie Wells in the fifth round was a gift. Love Frank Gore this year, too.

Solid Picks

Beanie Wells (5, 55) – Can’t believe he fell this late. One more pick and I had him!

Malcolm Floyd (7, 79) – No Vincent Jackson. Philip Rivers needs a new weapon.

Terrell Owens (10, 114) – Maybe Palmer resurrects Owens with Ocho streaking deep.

Sketchy Picks

Mason Crosby (9, 103) – At this point, I could do nothing but chuckle.

Ben Tate (13, 151) – Never good to draft players who are out for the season.

DZet

Really wanted Frank Gore, Michael Turner or Andre Johnson at No. 8. Took Shonn Greene by default. I like my running back/wide receiver depth. Wish I had one more real solid running back, but maybe that will emerge from my bench or a trade.

Solid Picks

Greg Jennings (3, 32) – Has to have more touchdowns than last season. He’s the No. 1 fantasy quarterback’s No. 1 receiver.

Dez Bryant (8, 89) – Figured there was good keeper potential here. Jerry Jones wouldn’t have wasted a No. 1 draft pick on someone he wouldn’t use.

Zach Miller (10, 113) – ESPN's Matthew Berry said he loved Miller if he was around in the tenth round. So that’s what I did.

Tim Hightower (11, 128) – Still might be the starter in Arizona. He’s a platoon at worst for this season, with Beanie on the horizon.

Bernard Berrian (13, 152) – Should be Favre’s No. 1 wideout ‘til Rice gets back.

Sketchy Picks

Shonn Greene (1, 8) – May have been a stretch here, but who else would I have taken? Had to show my Big Ten loyalty.

Philip Rivers (4, 41) – No Vinny Jackson may hurt his numbers. But he has to perform with a rookie running back behind him. May have been a stretch, though.

Justin

Team rides a lot on Knowshon Moreno and Kevin Kolb. If they perform, you will contend.

Solid Picks

Kevin Kolb (8, 88) – Good value here. Andy Reid loves to throw the ball.

Sketchy Picks

Percy Harvin (6, 64) – The migraines are a legitimate concern.

Skybox

A bunch of decent picks. If Justin Forsett and Jerome Harrison play like they did at the end of last season, you will definitely contend.

Solid Picks

Nothing out of the ordinary.

Sketchy Picks

Rob Bironas (10, 111) – I wanted him. But in round 14.

Kevin Smith (12, 135) – With Donald Brown on deck, this was an interesting pick. At least he knows it.

Killer Mike

A lot of question marks but a lot of upside. You better hope Donald Driver plays like he did in '09.

Solid Picks

Ahmad Bradshaw (5, 59) – Brandon Jacobs is toast. I like it.

Demaryius Thomas (13, 155) – Huge upside for the first rounder in Denver.

Sketchy Picks

Vernon Davis (4, 38) – Not terrible, but can he really have 11 touchdowns again? I’ll tell you who could: Jermichael Finley, who was available here.

Sameer

Very solid mid-round drafting. I wanted The Rapist and Santonio Holmes when you took them.

Solid Picks

Wes Welker (6, 61) – Seems to be healthy. If that’s true, he’s a Top 15 wideout in the Pats’ offense.

Reggie Bush (7, 84) – He’s running hard this preseason without Mike Bell ahead of him.

Ben Roethlisberger (10, 109) – Good insurance for A-Rod. Lots of keeper potential here, too.

Santonio Holmes (11, 132) – Should be a solid No. 2 fantasy wideout after his suspension. If so, what a keeper for ’11.

Sketchy Picks

None

7 comments:

Unknown said...

LOL I like that kynoch had no solid picks. Hilarious. And you are a nerd, but i read this and thoroughly enjoyed it so I guess were in the same boat buddy.

Unknown said...

no solid picks but its all gravy ill see you in the super-bowl again sameer... wait you weren't there last year, lo siento amigo. and smith was a panic pick

Brooksie said...

I cant keep V Jax b/c i am keeping bret farve and CJ next year

Brooksie said...

Also, waking up at 5 am would seem bad until you try waking up at midnight, 2, 4, 5, 630, then not getting home until 7. but there is always fee time somewhere, i guess i just havnt found it yet

Becky said...

I personally just thoroughly enjoyed this and it distracted me from being productive at work for I'd say a good 15-20 minutes. Thanks Zet for your 'nerdiness' although one of my guy friends from school sent out a mass e-mail very much similar to this pre-season ranking all of our teams, so you're not the only one.

jerry said...

haha good stuff

ez said...

wow...you really are a nerd...scary...